Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 1.885046 2.178585 2.501286 2.882173 3.319281 3.805063 4.385771
2025-03-30 1.524612 1.919656 2.390645 2.992834 3.741684 4.641694 5.805123
2025-04-06 1.231895 1.672416 2.236326 3.009485 4.040474 5.366485 7.200332
2025-04-13 0.960870 1.396679 1.991615 2.860355 4.093792 5.779394 8.255329
2025-04-20 0.832014 1.285870 1.942186 2.956045 4.478197 6.673374 10.074429
2025-04-27 0.745057 1.217678 1.937890 3.108753 4.957687 7.756713 12.306447
2025-05-04 0.656666 1.130429 1.888321 3.180058 5.317160 8.700126 14.446648
2025-05-11 0.577385 1.043391 1.823437 3.212730 5.612858 9.572544 16.578224
2025-05-18 0.492133 0.931400 1.699048 3.124517 5.690035 10.090985 18.181859
2025-05-25 0.412496 0.815902 1.550415 2.969588 5.624949 10.351444 19.361684
2025-06-01 0.366321 0.754977 1.490170 2.963988 5.822637 11.087750 21.466380
2025-06-08 0.320493 0.687256 1.407024 2.901989 5.903559 11.615735 23.241901
2025-06-15 0.303712 0.677037 1.436471 3.069298 6.459716 13.120143 27.103749
2025-06-22 0.281774 0.652565 1.433920 3.171793 6.900978 14.457764 30.811032
2025-06-29 0.254031 0.610920 1.389600 3.180316 7.149151 15.440155 33.922648
2025-07-06 0.216590 0.541055 1.274216 3.017771 7.009436 15.606179 35.347254
2025-07-13 0.202783 0.524488 1.275030 3.115380 7.454874 17.063193 39.729352
2025-07-20 0.194163 0.519141 1.300790 3.274076 8.059425 18.937096 45.260972
2025-07-27 0.181031 0.500248 1.291598 3.347835 8.474567 20.434438 50.114551
2025-08-03 0.167006 0.476691 1.267541 3.381438 8.797007 21.755119 54.712284
2025-08-10 0.148214 0.437137 1.197393 3.288282 8.793267 22.305140 57.528398
2025-08-17 0.128604 0.391892 1.105671 3.125203 8.588545 22.341190 59.078237
2025-08-24 0.117916 0.370442 1.074338 3.119169 8.792175 23.411181 63.356334